Here’s Why China’s Chengdu J-10C Vigorous Dragon Worse Than You Think

Regarding product development, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) still does what the Soviet Union did back in the day: acquire the technology in the West, reverse engineer (read: copy) and use it for the intended purpose. Beria and Pervukhin noted that it leads to significant savings in research and development. Mao, a devout Stalinist, continued the practice.

The PRC copied several Mikoyan fighters, namely the MiG-17, MiG-19 and MiG-21. A modified MiG-19 became the Nanchang A-5, and MiG-21 derivatives became the Shengyang J-8.

During the 1980s, Israel Aircraft Industries (IAI) developed the IAI Lavi, essentially a modified F-16 suited to Israel’s unique defense needs. The Lavi shared features from the F-16: air intake, general layout, wings, among others. The Israelis added canards and a twin-seat cockpit. Most of these developments were later used on the F-16I Sufa.

J-10 is 3rd Gen fighter (J-10A/B and J-10S) and fourth Gen fighter (J-10C) program proposed in 1980 and funded with $500 million; the chief designer is Song Wencong (1930–2016).

Song Wencong (1930–2016)

He and his team consulted with IAI, Israel, but because of a lack of alloy development, J-10A/B/C only brought a weapons load of around 4,5 tons.

Israeli Lavi Fighter jet

The first flight happened in 1998 flight by test pilot Lei Qiang, and entered production in 2005.

The A/B series was equipped with Doppler radar that could track 8 targets and engage two targets simultaneously. J-10A is China’s first fighter that had features for the first time.

The IAI Lavi development used US funds, which led to concerns about the Lavi competing with the F-16 in the fighter aircraft market. On the other hand, the US government noted that IAI (and their contractors) used American taxpayer money to develop foreign technology, which is a serious concern. Eventually, the US pressured Israel into terminating the Lavi program.

Since the 1990s, the PRC embarked into a massive military technology acquisition effort. Carrier-borne Sukhoi Su-27 fighters, cruise missile technology, incomplete Soviet aircraft carriers… Whatever the PRC could not acquire overtly, it stole.

The carrier-borne Sukhoi Su-27 became the Shengyang J-15, and the aircraft carrier hull became the Liaoning.

The PRC also tried to acquire Israeli technology. Of interest were the IAI Lavi and the Elta Phalcon AEW radars. At some point, the US blocked the Phalcon acquisition; Lavi technology ended up in Chinese hands.

The Chengdu J-10 started as several failed projects during the 1960s and 1970s. These designs included canards and variable geometry, among other things, but none succeeded because they were beyond China’s aerospace industry’s capacities. The technology acquisitions helped to complete the design.

The Chengdu J-10 looks similar to the IAI Lavi: general layout, canards and air intake. The latter is the same design as the Lockheed Martin F-16.

Summing up, the PRC, like all the communist regimes that preceded it, chooses to reduce research and development costs by acquiring, legally or illegally, the technology it needs, especially for its military equipment.

The PRC copied Soviet fighters in the past. In the 1990s, it acquired more technology; part of it came from IAI.

The information the PRC obtained from the IAI Lavi was important in developing the Chengdu J-10. Several projects failed before it. The IAI Lavi is a development of the Lockheed Martin F-16. Anything based on the Lavi is based on the F-16 as well.

Is it bang for the buck?

A fleet of 100 J-10C fighter jets would end with an annual operating cost of about $2bn, while having 100 F-16V will cost about $3bn/year for sustainment, and a fleet of 100 Su-30/35/57 will make tax-payers pay $5bn/year for sustainment.

In actual combat, four F-16s, or four Super Hornets, or 2 Gripens can do the job of a squadron of J-10C or a squadron of Su-35 because the J-10C/Su-35 can fly with fewer weapons and costs very high to maintain. J-10C and Su-35 cannot sustain long-duration combat sorties and must refuel or return to base for maintenance work.

Avionics

In terms of performance, the F-16 has a higher top speed and a longer range than the J-10. The F-16 has a more advanced avionics suite equipped with more modern weapons than the J-10C fighter jets.

Engine Performance

As a Russian engineer who gained access to the J-10 program, the J-10 is heavily based on the IAI Lavi blueprints, and it doesn’t take a genius to figure out what the Lavi was itself based upon. A newly built J-10C fighter has been fitted with a domestically developed WS-10 Taihang engine to replace the Russian-made AL-31 engine. The WS-10 Taihang engine is a work in progress and is many years behind in becoming a mature product.

The Lavi is only an F-16 modified in a delta/canard configuration… And so is the Chengdu J-10.

Except that the J-10 was a little stretched, has no wingtip rails and uses a Flanker’s Saturn-Lyulka AL-31FN engine or a WS-10A, which forcedly makes it less reliable than the P&W F100 -PW-229 or GE F110-GE-129 on F-16. The heavy Russian and Chinese made the J-10 slower and carried fewer payloads.

The canards will give some advantage to the J-10 in instantaneous turn rate, while F-16 will be advantaged in continuous turn rate. F-16 is lighter with a little more thrust and more payload, thus, it’s clear that, at ¥190M ($28.5 million), vs. $85 million for the latest F-16V, which inherit some of the F-35 combat systems, J-10 is surely a better bang for the buck if your air-force is on super-tight budget… But the AL-31F or the WS-10A will likely have you end up with higher costs of use than the F-16, thanks to numerous full engine overhauls and short lifespans.

Actually, if you’re into purchasing jet fighters, you’d better go for other options than any of these: for a flyaway cost mid-way between the J-10 and the F-16V, you can get something as good as a Super Hornet with an hourly cost similar to the Gripen-E and much better weapons than what PRC will provide you.

The latest F-16V flies faster, higher, and farther; it carries more weapons and fuel and can withstand more G forces. The F-16 has much more combat experience and an excellent record; thousands have been built and flown worldwide.

Unreliable Chinese Engines

China’s difficulties with jet engines may be surprising given the country’s massive and successful military buildup.

It’s also no secret that China is skilled at reverse-engineering foreign technology to make domestic copies. Virtually every Chinese fighter jet is based on stolen or reverse-engineered designs.

There is precedent for reverse-engineering jet engines, but while China has plenty of access to Russian jet engines, Beijing’s attempts to produce its domestic designs have been largely unsuccessful.

One of its earliest versions of a domestically designed engine, the WS-10A, regularly broke down after just 30 hours of use.

There are many reasons for these failures. First, Russia knows China has stolen its intellectual property before and is reluctant to sell Beijing its best engines. Moscow also doesn’t sell standalone engines; instead, it includes them on existing jets, which makes copying them difficult.

Second, reverse-engineering skills don’t easily translate into proficiency in developing new jet engines from scratch. That requires technological know-how that takes years of intensive learning to develop and generations to perfect.

Perhaps most importantly, manufacturing jet engines is just extremely complicated.

“There are a few technologies that are really at the apex of technological manufacturing,” and jet engines are one of them, Timothy Heath, a senior international and defense researcher at the Rand Corporation think tank, told Insider.

“These high-end technologies are so difficult to master that very few countries succeed. Many have failed,” Heath added.

Is KLJ-7A radar any good?

China touted its KLJ-7A AESA radar as good as the Western radar, but looking beneath the surface, KLJ-7A is just a carbon copy of the Zhuk-AME radar developed by Russia. When NIIR Phazotron couldn’t develop the Zhuk-AME further because it failed to produce electronics locally without South Korean help and ran out of money, it sold the technology to China as is.

ZHUK-AME

Nanjing Research Institute of Electronics Technology’s (NRIET’s) deputy director Wang Hongzhe said that the KLJ-7A has a range of 150 km against an aerial target with 5m² RCS (radar cross-section) or 100 km against an ground target with fifteen square meters of RCS due to poor target discrimination capabilities in high electromagnetical clutter. It can track 10 targets and engage four simultaneously. Though equipped with 160 TRMs identical to Zhuk-MA. it is unknown if the KLJ-7A’s TRMs are built from gallium arsenide (GaA).

The KLJ-7A AESA radars provide less capability against electronic warfare (EW) jamming and enemy radar detection. The AESA radars utilize many arrays – i.e. transmit and receive modules (TRM) – that can each transmit in a different frequency. Russian and Chinese-built TRM produce heat, so to cool down the TRM, Russian engineers created an auto-shutdown feature for Zhuk-AME/KLJ-7A radar, reducing the frequencies it can produce. Hence reducing the capability of the radar.

The radar combined three modules on the back of the radar – the power supply, the computer and the cooling cell. The antenna and the computer module are liquid-cooled, as is marked on the housing. The cooling systems reportedly underperformed compared to the cooling systems of Western radar.

Armaments

The PL-10 short-range AAM was introduced last year. Chinese media has highlighted that the PL-10 is the first all-aspect missile in the PLAAF, with a 60-degree off-boresight angle and thrust-vectoring capabilities. It is reported to have a range of at least 20 km and with a multi-element imaging infrared seeker, instead of active-radar homing missiles.

The Western missiles such as AIM-9X and IRIS-T have 90 degree off-boresight and advanced data link to guide missile to the target.

The J-10B/C series has also become PLAAF’s latest multi-role fighter since it can perform ground strike and anti-defence roles with the KD88H missile and YJ91 anti-radiation missile, respectively. J-10C variant carries an SD-10 (PL-12D) air-to-air missile with a 100km range, which can be compared to the American AIM-120A AMRAAM variant.

Pakistani perspective

Lockheed Martin offered the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) an upgrade package for its fleet of F-16C/D aircraft and purchase new F-16V Block 70, which PAF rejected because Pakistan is under major lifeline funding from IMF, China and Saudi Arabia. Pakistan cannot source money to sustain F-16C/D due to its debt trap to China.

Pakistan can only do what its master in Beijing orders it to do, which is to purchase less capable J-10C fighter jets and resort to propaganda as the Russians and Chinese do all the time about their military hardware.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the lack of modern avionics, radar and armament suite, and whatever Chinese and Pakistani propaganda may reflect, the actual performance of the J-10C is not even close to South Korean FA-50 and American F-16 Block 50/52 aircraft.

Ultimately, propaganda catches with reality when you send these to jets in actual combat, not a few test flights in Qatar. Middle Eastern countries are known to purchase high-tech equipment but poorly train their pilots and don’t have the skills to organize combat exercises like the Alaska Red Flag.

Pakistan Air Force flew sorties in Qatar without any real combat exercise, proving that the J-10 can fly in the skies of Qatar, not engage in combat.

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